Sworn

Methodology

One number, 19 indicators,
zero invented data.

Every value on Sworn traces back to a primary source. This page documents the formula that turns 19 official indicators into a single 0–100 score per country, and the rules that govern when we don’t publish a score at all.

02Per-metric normalization

Trimmed-bounds rescaling to 0–100

Raw indicator values are incomparable across metrics. Life expectancy is measured in years; corruption perception on a 0–100 scale. We rescale each metric to a shared 0–100 scale so they can be combined.

  1. Compute bounds per metric, per year.

    For each metric, take the 2.5th and 97.5th percentile of observed values across the full reference set (today: all 217 covered countries; future: all 193 UN member states). Extreme outliers are trimmed, but everything in between stays exactly proportional.

  2. Freeze bounds for the year.

    Once computed, the year's bounds don't move. A new observation arriving in November cannot retroactively change a country's score from January.

  3. Linearly rescale to 0–100.

    Each country's value is mapped from [lower bound, upper bound] → [0, 100]. Values outside the bounds are clamped at the edges.

  4. Invert where appropriate.

    For lower-is-better metrics (child mortality, corruption, undernourishment) we flip the scale so 100 always means 'better' across every category.

03Aggregation

Three categories, weighted on purpose

The 19 metrics roll up into three category scores. Category weights reflect importance to human flourishing, not data availability.

Survival

40%

Life expectancy, child mortality, undernourishment, sanitation, electricity.

Living

35%

Income per capita, education, inequality, employment, gender gap.

Governance

25%

Corruption perception, press freedom, civil liberties, rule of law, government effectiveness.

Formula

survival_score    = mean(normalized metrics in survival)   ×  40%
living_score      = mean(normalized metrics in living)     ×  35%
governance_score  = mean(normalized metrics in governance) ×  25%
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sworn_score       = survival_score + living_score + governance_score

Nearly every country gets a Sworn Score. Our indicator set (World Bank, Transparency International, RSF, WGI) covers Survival, Living, and Governance across 207 of 217 tracked countries. 10 micro-states or dependencies with insufficient official data remain unscored — we’d rather be honest about gaps than fake a number. Where a single indicator is missing, the category average is computed from the ones that are present.

04Promise status

From commitment to outcome

For each tracked promise, we compute one of five statuses by comparing the linked metric's trajectory against the target and deadline.

  • Achieved

    Latest metric value already meets the target.

  • On track

    Linear trajectory from the last 5 observations lands at the target by the deadline.

  • Failing

    Trajectory misses the target by the deadline.

  • Broken

    Deadline passed and target not met.

  • Tracking

    No quantified target, no metric link, or too little history yet.

05Boundaries

What we don't do

Knowing what stays out of the model is as important as knowing what goes in.

  • We do not invent target values

    Qualitative promises stay 'Tracking' until a quantified target is set.

  • We do not aggregate third-party datasets

    Every value cites a primary source — no commercial aggregators, no media-report estimates.

  • We do not weight by population or GDP

    Each metric is country-equal, by design. Large states do not outvote small ones.